Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies
All Cincinnati Reds predictions · All Colorado Rockies predictions
MLB · Saturday, July 18, 2026 · 3:11 PM · Final: 3-10
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cincinnati Reds | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| ESPN BET | -115 | -105 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Reds | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -160 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| ESPN BET | 12.5 -110 | 12.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Cincinnati Reds | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 53.5% | 51.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Markets average | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.