The record. Wins and losses alike.
The model calls every game, every day — and every call is graded here when games go final. Nothing is edited, nothing is deleted. This page updates itself.
The board — every game, graded
The model calls every game on the slate, every day, bet or no bet — and every call is graded here. Picks are the rare games where the price is wrong; this board is the daily proof the model behind them is real.
| Model said | Games | Won | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50-55% | 248 | 131 | 52.8% |
| 55-60% | 194 | 105 | 54.1% |
| 60-65% | 90 | 56 | 62.2% |
| 65-70% | 28 | 18 | 64.3% |
| 70-75% | 12 | 8 | 66.7% |
| 75-80% | 2 | 2 | 100.0% |
Latest slate — 2026-08-18 · 11–3 (78.6%)
| Game | Score | Model favorite | Prob | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies MLB | 7-6 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 64.7% | ✓ |
| Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros MLB | 3-1 | Houston Astros | 60.5% | ✗ |
| Washington Nationals @ Texas Rangers MLB | 0-5 | Texas Rangers | 56.9% | ✓ |
| Atlanta Braves @ Minnesota Twins MLB | 1-4 | Atlanta Braves | 57.5% | ✗ |
| Athletics @ Kansas City Royals MLB | 3-4 | Kansas City Royals | 59.8% | ✓ |
| Seattle Mariners @ Milwaukee Brewers MLB | 0-22 | Milwaukee Brewers | 61.3% | ✓ |
| Arizona Diamondbacks @ Boston Red Sox MLB | 4-9 | Boston Red Sox | 61.0% | ✓ |
| San Diego Padres @ New York Mets MLB | 5-2 | San Diego Padres | 52.6% | ✓ |
| St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds MLB | 3-0 | St. Louis Cardinals | 52.2% | ✓ |
| San Francisco Giants @ Cleveland Guardians MLB | 1-8 | Cleveland Guardians | 64.6% | ✓ |
| Detroit Tigers @ Pittsburgh Pirates MLB | 1-4 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 59.0% | ✓ |
| Toronto Blue Jays @ Tampa Bay Rays MLB | 10-5 | Tampa Bay Rays | 55.4% | ✗ |
| Miami Marlins @ Philadelphia Phillies MLB | 4-6 | Philadelphia Phillies | 66.6% | ✓ |
| New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles MLB | 3-1 | New York Yankees | 51.0% | ✓ |
Earlier this month
| Date | Games | Record | Hit rate | By sport |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | 11 | 9–2 | 81.8% | MLB 9–2 |
| 2026-08-16 | 15 | 6–9 | 40.0% | MLB 6–9 |
| 2026-08-15 | 15 | 8–7 | 53.3% | MLB 8–7 |
| 2026-08-14 | 14 | 6–8 | 42.9% | MLB 6–8 |
| 2026-08-13 | 9 | 3–6 | 33.3% | MLB 3–6 |
| 2026-08-12 | 15 | 9–6 | 60.0% | MLB 9–6 |
| 2026-08-11 | 15 | 7–8 | 46.7% | MLB 7–8 |
| 2026-08-10 | 10 | 7–3 | 70.0% | MLB 7–3 |
| 2026-08-09 | 15 | 9–6 | 60.0% | MLB 9–6 |
| 2026-08-08 | 15 | 7–8 | 46.7% | MLB 7–8 |
| 2026-08-07 | 15 | 7–8 | 46.7% | MLB 7–8 |
| 2026-08-06 | 11 | 5–6 | 45.5% | MLB 5–6 |
| 2026-08-05 | 15 | 10–5 | 66.7% | MLB 10–5 |
| 2026-08-04 | 15 | 10–5 | 66.7% | MLB 10–5 |
| 2026-08-03 | 8 | 3–5 | 37.5% | MLB 3–5 |
| 2026-08-02 | 15 | 11–4 | 73.3% | MLB 11–4 |
| 2026-08-01 | 15 | 11–4 | 73.3% | MLB 11–4 |
Previous months
| Month | Games | Record | Hit rate | By sport |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | 332 | 181–151 | 54.5% | MLB 181–151 |
Published picks — the money record
Picks are the rare games where the price itself is wrong — frozen at 8:00 AM Eastern with the price and book on the card, then graded automatically. Members get them each morning.
| Sport | Record | Win rate | Units net | ROI | Avg CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 2–1 | 66.7% | +3.19 | +97.9% | +3.66% |
Results log — published picks
CLV = closing line value: how our published price compared to the market's final consensus. Beating the close consistently is the real test of an edge.
| Date | Sport | Game | Pick | Price | Units | Result | Net | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | MLB | Athletics @ Boston Red Sox 7-3 | Athletics Caesars | +240 | 0.24 | win | +0.58 | -1.9% |
| 2026-07-29 | MLB | Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets 1-0 | New York Mets BetRivers | +150 | 0.40 | loss | -0.40 | -3.5% |
| 2026-07-12 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates 5-14 | Pittsburgh Pirates Fanatics | +115 | 2.62 | win | +3.01 | +16.4% |