The record. Wins and losses alike.
The model calls every game, every day — and every call is graded here when games go final. Nothing is edited, nothing is deleted. This page updates itself.
The board — every game, graded
The model calls every game on the slate, every day, bet or no bet — and every call is graded here. Picks are the rare games where the price is wrong; this board is the daily proof the model behind them is real.
| Model said | Games | Won | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50-55% | 480 | 247 | 51.5% |
| 55-60% | 370 | 215 | 58.1% |
| 60-65% | 204 | 129 | 63.2% |
| 65-70% | 84 | 57 | 67.9% |
| 70-75% | 37 | 30 | 81.1% |
| 75-80% | 9 | 5 | 55.6% |
| 80-85% | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
| 85-90% | 1 | 1 | 100.0% |
Latest slate — 2026-10-02 · 0–3 (0.0%)
| Game | Score | Model favorite | Prob | Call |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins @ Winnipeg Jets NHL | 4-3 | Winnipeg Jets | 52.2% | ✗ |
| Washington Capitals @ Carolina Hurricanes NHL | 5-2 | Carolina Hurricanes | 56.7% | ✗ |
| New York Rangers @ Detroit Red Wings NHL | 2-0 | Detroit Red Wings | 53.3% | ✗ |
Earlier this month
| Date | Games | Record | Hit rate | By sport |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | 10 | 5–5 | 50.0% | MLB 1–0 · NFL 0–1 · NHL 4–4 |
Previous months
| Month | Games | Record | Hit rate | By sport |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 424 | 252–172 | 59.4% | MLB 216–152 · NFL 31–17 · NHL 5–3 |
| August 2026 | 417 | 247–170 | 59.2% | MLB 247–170 |
| July 2026 | 332 | 181–151 | 54.5% | MLB 181–151 |
Published picks — the money record
Picks are the rare games where the price itself is wrong — frozen at 8:00 AM Eastern with the price and book on the card, then graded automatically. Members get them each morning.
| Sport | Record | Win rate | Units net | ROI | Avg CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 3–4 | 42.9% | +3.34 | +54.3% | +5.0% |
| NFL | 1–0 | 100.0% | +0.68 | +357.9% | +4.83% |
Results log — published picks
CLV = closing line value: how our published price compared to the market's final consensus. Beating the close consistently is the real test of an edge.
| Date | Sport | Game | Pick | Price | Units | Result | Net | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | NFL | Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders 31-33 | Washington Commanders FanDuel | +360 | 0.19 | win | +0.68 | +4.8% |
| 2026-09-25 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees 3-6 | Baltimore Orioles BetRivers | +140 | 0.70 | loss | -0.70 | +20.0% |
| 2026-09-12 | MLB | Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox 1-5 | Kansas City Royals BetRivers | +180 | 0.37 | loss | -0.37 | -6.4% |
| 2026-09-02 | MLB | Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros 5-1 | Chicago White Sox BetMGM | +110 | 1.45 | win | +1.59 | +7.3% |
| 2026-08-22 | MLB | San Francisco Giants @ Boston Red Sox 2-3 | San Francisco Giants Hard Rock Bet | +200 | 0.37 | loss | -0.37 | +3.1% |
| 2026-08-08 | MLB | Athletics @ Boston Red Sox 7-3 | Athletics Caesars | +240 | 0.24 | win | +0.58 | -1.9% |
| 2026-07-29 | MLB | Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets 1-0 | New York Mets BetRivers | +150 | 0.40 | loss | -0.40 | -3.5% |
| 2026-07-12 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates 5-14 | Pittsburgh Pirates Fanatics | +115 | 2.62 | win | +3.01 | +16.4% |