Chicago White Sox at Minnesota Twins
All Chicago White Sox predictions · All Minnesota Twins predictions
MLB · Friday, August 28, 2026 · 8:11 PM · Final: 7-4
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Chicago White Sox | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +110 | -135 |
| BetRivers | +118 | -141 |
| DraftKings | +119 | -127 |
| ESPN BET | +111 | -125 |
| Fanatics | +110 | -130 |
| FanDuel | +116 | -126 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +115 | -125 |
| Caesars | +120 | -130 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | White Sox | Twins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +155 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -175 | −1.5 +143 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -193 | −1.5 +158 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -200 | −1.5 +165 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -185 | −1.5 +150 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -194 | −1.5 +160 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +190 | +1.5 -200 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +158 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -120 | 8.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | 9 -113 | 9 -127 |
| DraftKings | 9 +100 | 9 -120 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -125 | 8.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 -120 | 8.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -124 | 8.5 +102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -120 | 8.5 +110 |
| Caesars | 9 -105 | 9 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Chicago White Sox | Minnesota Twins |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 45.3% | 54.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 45.5% | 55.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 45.5% | 54.5% |
| Markets average | 45.5% | 54.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.