San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves
All San Francisco Giants predictions · All Atlanta Braves predictions
MLB · Monday, August 31, 2026 · 6:05 PM · Final: 7-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Francisco Giants | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +170 | -210 |
| BetRivers | +170 | -195 |
| DraftKings | +179 | -193 |
| ESPN BET | +186 | -212 |
| Fanatics | +175 | -215 |
| FanDuel | +190 | -205 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +185 | -195 |
| Caesars | +187 | -207 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Giants | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -120 | −1.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -129 | −1.5 +106 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -126 | −1.5 +105 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -120 | −1.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -120 | −1.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -120 | −1.5 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 +105 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -115 | −1.5 -105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 9 -110 | 9 -110 |
| BetRivers | 9 -105 | 9 -114 |
| DraftKings | 9 -115 | 9 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -135 | 8.5 +115 |
| Fanatics | 9 -105 | 9 -115 |
| FanDuel | 9 -106 | 9 -114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -125 | 8.5 +115 |
| Caesars | 9 -105 | 9 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | San Francisco Giants | Atlanta Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 34.7% | 65.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 34.5% | 65.9% |
| Kalshi contract price | 34.5% | 65.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.