Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB · Saturday, July 4, 2026 · 9:41 PM · Final: 3-4
The model's call
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Model confidence 58.9%
Books consensus 58.9%
Result Arizona Diamondbacks won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Milwaukee Brewers | Arizona Diamondbacks |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -160 | +135 |
| BetRivers | -162 | +130 |
| DraftKings | -162 | +134 |
| ESPN BET | -150 | +130 |
| Fanatics | -165 | +135 |
| FanDuel | -154 | +130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -160 | +130 |
| Caesars | -160 | +135 |
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