St. Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies
All St. Louis Cardinals predictions · All Colorado Rockies predictions
MLB · Friday, September 4, 2026 · 8:41 PM · Final: 7-6
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | St. Louis Cardinals | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -130 | +105 |
| BetRivers | -125 | +110 |
| DraftKings | -133 | +110 |
| ESPN BET | -120 | +107 |
| Fanatics | -125 | +105 |
| FanDuel | -126 | +108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -135 | +110 |
| Caesars | -125 | +115 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Cardinals | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -145 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +115 | +1.5 -139 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +114 | +1.5 -137 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -145 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -145 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +118 | +1.5 -142 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +115 | +1.5 -140 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +118 | +1.5 -140 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 11 -118 | 11 -102 |
| BetRivers | 11 -118 | 11 -103 |
| DraftKings | 11 -108 | 11 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 11.5 +110 | 11.5 -130 |
| Fanatics | 11 -105 | 11 -115 |
| FanDuel | 11.5 +104 | 11.5 -128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 10.5 -130 | 10.5 +110 |
| Caesars | 11 -110 | 11 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | St. Louis Cardinals | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 53.8% | 46.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 54.5% | 46.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Markets average | 53.5% | 46.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.