Indiana Pacers at New Orleans Pelicans
All Indiana Pacers predictions · All New Orleans Pelicans predictions
NBA · Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 8:11 PM · Final: 123-120
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Indiana Pacers | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -140 | +115 |
| BetRivers | -155 | +128 |
| DraftKings | -142 | +120 |
| ESPN BET | -140 | +120 |
| Fanatics | -140 | +115 |
| FanDuel | -138 | +118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -150 | +125 |
| Novig | -122 | +120 |
| Caesars | -135 | +115 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Pacers | Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | −3.5 -104 | +3.5 -118 |
| DraftKings | −2.5 -118 | +2.5 -102 |
| ESPN BET | −2.5 -120 | +2.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | −3 -110 | +3 -110 |
| FanDuel | −2.5 -110 | +2.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 |
| Caesars | −2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 239.5 -105 | 239.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 238.5 -108 | 238.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | 238.5 -115 | 238.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 238.5 -110 | 238.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 239 -110 | 239 -110 |
| FanDuel | 238.5 -114 | 238.5 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 239.5 -105 | 239.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 238.5 -110 | 238.5 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Indiana Pacers | New Orleans Pelicans |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 55.0% | 43.9% |
| Kalshi contract price | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.