Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets
All Dallas Mavericks predictions · All Houston Rockets predictions
NBA · Wednesday, October 21, 2026 · 8:42 PM · Final: 110-128
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +325 | -425 |
| BetRivers | +350 | -480 |
| DraftKings | +330 | -425 |
| ESPN BET | +320 | -425 |
| Fanatics | +325 | -425 |
| FanDuel | +330 | -420 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +325 | -450 |
| Novig | +388 | -400 |
| Caesars | +320 | -420 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Mavericks | Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +9.5 -105 | −9.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | +10.5 -108 | −10.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | +9.5 -102 | −9.5 -118 |
| ESPN BET | +9.5 -105 | −9.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | +10 -110 | −10 -110 |
| FanDuel | +9.5 -105 | −9.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +9.5 -105 | −9.5 -115 |
| Caesars | +10.5 -110 | −10.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 229.5 -115 | 229.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 230.5 -112 | 230.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | 230.5 -102 | 230.5 -118 |
| ESPN BET | 230.5 -110 | 230.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 230.5 -110 | 230.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 230.5 -106 | 230.5 -114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 230.5 -110 | 230.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 230 -105 | 230 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 22.4% | 77.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 20.5% | 80.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 21.5% | 78.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.