Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers
All Philadelphia 76ers predictions · All Cleveland Cavaliers predictions
NBA · Friday, November 6, 2026 · 7:43 PM · Final: 95-119
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Philadelphia 76ers | Cleveland Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -150 | +125 |
| BetRivers | -148 | +123 |
| DraftKings | -152 | +128 |
| ESPN BET | -150 | +130 |
| Fanatics | -150 | +125 |
| FanDuel | -154 | +130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -165 | +135 |
| Novig | -135 | +133 |
| Caesars | -160 | +135 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | 76ers | Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | −2.5 -114 | +2.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | −2.5 -112 | +2.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | −2.5 -110 | +2.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −3 -110 | +3 -110 |
| FanDuel | −2.5 -115 | +2.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −3.5 -105 | +3.5 -115 |
| Caesars | −3 -110 | +3 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 232.5 -110 | 232.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | 231.5 -113 | 231.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 232.5 -110 | 232.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 232.5 -110 | 232.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 232 -110 | 232 -110 |
| FanDuel | 232.5 -105 | 232.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 231.5 -115 | 231.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 232 -110 | 232 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Philadelphia 76ers | Cleveland Cavaliers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 57.9% | 42.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 57.4% | 42.6% |
| Kalshi contract price | 59.5% | 40.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.