Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers
All Minnesota Twins predictions · All Detroit Tigers predictions
MLB · Monday, September 7, 2026 · 3:11 PM · Final: 4-5
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +100 | -120 |
| BetRivers | +114 | -136 |
| DraftKings | +100 | -120 |
| ESPN BET | +107 | -120 |
| Fanatics | +100 | -120 |
| FanDuel | -102 | -116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +100 | -120 |
| Caesars | +110 | -121 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Twins | Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +170 | +1.5 -210 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +155 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -198 | −1.5 +162 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +170 | +1.5 -215 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -205 | −1.5 +165 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -188 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -220 | −1.5 +175 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -190 | −1.5 +158 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -105 | 8 -115 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -118 | 7.5 -104 |
| DraftKings | 8 -102 | 8 -118 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -122 | 7.5 +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 8 +105 | 8 -125 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Minnesota Twins | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 47.8% | 52.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 46.7% | 53.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| Markets average | 47.5% | 52.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.