Chicago White Sox at St. Louis Cardinals
All Chicago White Sox predictions · All St. Louis Cardinals predictions
MLB · Friday, September 11, 2026 · 9:25 PM · Final: 3-7
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Chicago White Sox | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -110 | -110 |
| BetRivers | +100 | -114 |
| DraftKings | -108 | -112 |
| ESPN BET | -102 | -111 |
| Fanatics | -110 | -110 |
| FanDuel | -106 | -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -110 | -110 |
| Caesars | -110 | -110 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | White Sox | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 |
| BetRivers | −1 +135 | +1 -165 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +153 | +1.5 -187 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +160 | +1.5 -190 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +158 | +1.5 -192 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +155 | +1.5 -190 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +158 | +1.5 -190 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| BetRivers | 8 +100 | 8 -120 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -119 | 7.5 -101 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Chicago White Sox | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 50.0% | 52.4% |
| Kalshi contract price | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Markets average | 49.5% | 50.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.