San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB · Saturday, July 4, 2026 · 10:11 PM · Final: 0-3
The model's call
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Model confidence 69.6%
Books consensus 69.6%
Result Los Angeles Dodgers won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Diego Padres | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +220 | -275 |
| BetRivers | +230 | -305 |
| DraftKings | +220 | -274 |
| ESPN BET | +220 | -270 |
| Fanatics | +210 | -260 |
| FanDuel | +210 | -255 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +210 | -260 |
| Caesars | +210 | -260 |
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