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Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians

MLB · Friday, July 17, 2026 · 7:11 PM

The model's call
Cleveland Guardians to win
Model confidence 53.2%
Market consensus 53.2%

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Pittsburgh PiratesCleveland Guardians
DraftKings +105 -126
ESPN BET +105 -125
Fanatics +100 -120
FanDuel +106 -124
Hard Rock Bet +105 -125
Caesars +105 -125

Prediction markets vs the books

What event-contract traders say this game is worth, next to the sportsbooks' de-vigged consensus. Amber = a gap of 3+ points — two markets disagree, and one of them is wrong.

Source Pittsburgh PiratesCleveland Guardians
Books consensus 46.8% 53.2%
Polymarket 45.5% 54.5%

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