San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals
All San Francisco Giants predictions · All St. Louis Cardinals predictions
MLB · Monday, September 14, 2026 · 7:46 PM · Final: 1-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Francisco Giants | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -155 |
| BetRivers | +143 | -175 |
| DraftKings | +130 | -157 |
| ESPN BET | +130 | -150 |
| Fanatics | +130 | -155 |
| FanDuel | +124 | -146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +125 | -150 |
| Caesars | +130 | -160 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Giants | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -170 | −1.5 +140 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -152 | −1.5 +125 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -167 | −1.5 +138 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -175 | −1.5 +145 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -170 | −1.5 +140 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -176 | −1.5 +146 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -175 | −1.5 +145 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -165 | −1.5 +135 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -105 | 8 -115 |
| BetRivers | 8 -112 | 8 -129 |
| DraftKings | 8 -104 | 8 -116 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 +100 |
| Fanatics | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -120 | 7.5 -102 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -125 | 7.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -124 | 7.5 +104 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | San Francisco Giants | St. Louis Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 41.9% | 58.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 41.2% | 59.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 41.5% | 58.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 42.5% | 57.5% |
| Markets average | 42.0% | 58.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.