San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers
All San Francisco Giants predictions · All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions
MLB · Friday, September 18, 2026 · 10:15 PM · Final: 2-8
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Francisco Giants | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +260 | -325 |
| BetRivers | +270 | -335 |
| DraftKings | +254 | -321 |
| ESPN BET | +260 | -320 |
| Fanatics | +260 | -330 |
| FanDuel | +260 | -320 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +250 | -300 |
| Caesars | +250 | -320 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Giants | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 +110 | −1.5 -135 |
| BetRivers | +2.5 -134 | −2.5 +110 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 +114 | −1.5 -137 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 +115 | −1.5 -135 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 +115 | −1.5 -140 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 +120 | −1.5 -144 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +2.5 -135 | −2.5 +115 |
| Caesars | +2.5 -137 | −2.5 +117 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -115 | 8 -105 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -118 | 7.5 -104 |
| DraftKings | 8 -107 | 8 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -130 | 7.5 +110 |
| Fanatics | 8 -115 | 8 -105 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 +106 | 8.5 -130 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -125 | 7.5 +105 |
| Caesars | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | San Francisco Giants | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 26.7% | 73.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 27.0% | 75.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 26.5% | 73.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 26.5% | 73.5% |
| Markets average | 26.5% | 73.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.