San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers
All San Francisco Giants predictions · All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions
MLB · Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 9:11 PM · Final: 4-10
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Francisco Giants | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +325 | -425 |
| BetRivers | +330 | -435 |
| DraftKings | +318 | -415 |
| ESPN BET | +320 | -425 |
| Fanatics | +325 | -425 |
| FanDuel | +350 | -450 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +325 | -450 |
| Caesars | +305 | -400 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Giants | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +2.5 -115 | −2.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | +2.5 -113 | −2.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 +140 | −1.5 -170 |
| ESPN BET | +2.5 -115 | −2.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 +140 | −1.5 -170 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 +146 | −1.5 -178 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +2.5 -115 | −2.5 -105 |
| Caesars | +2.5 -112 | −2.5 -107 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -102 | 7.5 -118 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -108 | 7.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -106 | 7.5 -113 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 7.5 +102 | 7.5 -120 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | San Francisco Giants | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 22.5% | 77.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 22.2% | 80.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 22.5% | 77.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 22.5% | 77.5% |
| Markets average | 22.5% | 77.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.