San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers
All San Francisco Giants predictions · All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions
MLB · Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 4:11 PM · Final: 1-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | San Francisco Giants | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +225 | -285 |
| BetRivers | +225 | -278 |
| DraftKings | +229 | -287 |
| ESPN BET | +230 | -280 |
| Fanatics | +225 | -280 |
| FanDuel | +225 | -275 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +225 | -275 |
| Caesars | +225 | -275 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Giants | Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -130 |
| BetRivers | +2 -122 | −2 +100 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 +109 | −1.5 -131 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -125 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -126 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -125 |
| Caesars | +1.5 +105 | −1.5 -122 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -107 | 8.5 -114 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -109 | 8.5 -111 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -120 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -106 | 8.5 -114 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -104 | 8.5 -114 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | San Francisco Giants | Los Angeles Dodgers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 29.5% | 70.5% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 30.3% | 73.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| Markets average | 28.5% | 71.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.