Minnesota Twins at San Francisco Giants
All Minnesota Twins predictions · All San Francisco Giants predictions
MLB · Tuesday, September 22, 2026 · 9:46 PM · Final: 3-2
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Minnesota Twins | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -135 | +115 |
| BetRivers | -157 | +130 |
| DraftKings | -143 | +118 |
| ESPN BET | -135 | +115 |
| Fanatics | -145 | +120 |
| FanDuel | -142 | +120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -140 | +115 |
| Caesars | -137 | +117 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Twins | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +120 | +1.5 -145 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +110 | +1.5 -136 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +123 | +1.5 -149 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +135 | +1.5 -160 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -150 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -150 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +125 | +1.5 -150 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +126 | +1.5 -148 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 -130 | 7 +105 |
| BetRivers | 7.5 -103 | 7.5 -118 |
| DraftKings | 7 -122 | 7 +102 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -105 | 7.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -125 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 +104 | 7.5 -128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -125 |
| Caesars | 7 -120 | 7 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Minnesota Twins | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 57.4% | 43.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 55.5% | 44.5% |
| Markets average | 56.0% | 44.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.