Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies
All Arizona Diamondbacks predictions · All Colorado Rockies predictions
MLB · Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 3:11 PM · Final: 12-8
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Arizona Diamondbacks | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -200 | +165 |
| BetRivers | -186 | +155 |
| DraftKings | -199 | +163 |
| ESPN BET | -195 | +165 |
| Fanatics | -200 | +165 |
| FanDuel | -194 | +162 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -195 | +160 |
| Caesars | -200 | +165 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Diamondbacks | Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -130 | +1.5 +105 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 -118 | +1.5 -104 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -126 | +1.5 +104 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 -125 | +1.5 +105 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -125 | +1.5 +105 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -126 | +1.5 +105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 -125 | +1.5 +105 |
| Caesars | −1.5 -125 | +1.5 +105 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 10 -110 | 10 -110 |
| BetRivers | 10.5 -104 | 10.5 -118 |
| DraftKings | 10 -116 | 10 -103 |
| ESPN BET | 10.5 +105 | 10.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 10 -115 | 10 -105 |
| FanDuel | 10.5 +108 | 10.5 -132 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 10.5 +105 | 10.5 -125 |
| Caesars | 10 -110 | 10 -110 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Arizona Diamondbacks | Colorado Rockies |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 63.6% | 36.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 65.0% | 37.7% |
| Kalshi contract price | 64.5% | 35.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| Markets average | 64.0% | 36.0% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.