St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers
All St. Louis Cardinals predictions · All Milwaukee Brewers predictions
MLB · Friday, September 25, 2026 · 7:41 PM · Final: 4-8
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | St. Louis Cardinals | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +155 | -190 |
| BetRivers | +150 | -182 |
| DraftKings | +158 | -193 |
| ESPN BET | +155 | -185 |
| Fanatics | +160 | -195 |
| FanDuel | +158 | -188 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +155 | -190 |
| Caesars | +155 | -182 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Cardinals | Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +115 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -127 | −1.5 +104 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -143 | −1.5 +118 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -145 | −1.5 +120 |
| Fanatics | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +115 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -144 | −1.5 +120 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -140 | −1.5 +120 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -141 | −1.5 +120 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 8 -115 | 8 -124 |
| DraftKings | 7.5 -114 | 7.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 -118 | 7.5 -104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 -115 | 7.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -118 | 7.5 +100 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | St. Louis Cardinals | Milwaukee Brewers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 37.4% | 62.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 38.5% | 64.5% |
| Kalshi contract price | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 36.5% | 63.5% |
| Markets average | 36.5% | 63.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.