Atlanta Braves at Miami Marlins
All Atlanta Braves predictions · All Miami Marlins predictions
MLB · Friday, September 25, 2026 · 7:11 PM · Final: 0-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Atlanta Braves | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -115 | -105 |
| BetRivers | -117 | -103 |
| DraftKings | -117 | -103 |
| ESPN BET | -115 | -105 |
| Fanatics | -115 | -105 |
| FanDuel | -118 | +100 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -115 | -105 |
| Caesars | -118 | +101 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Braves | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +145 | +1.5 -175 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +133 | +1.5 -165 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +144 | +1.5 -174 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +145 | +1.5 -175 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +145 | +1.5 -180 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +146 | +1.5 -178 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +145 | +1.5 -175 |
| Caesars | −1.5 +143 | +1.5 -170 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
| BetRivers | 8 -125 | 8 -115 |
| DraftKings | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 -130 | 7.5 +110 |
| Fanatics | 8 -110 | 8 -110 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 +104 | 8.5 -128 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 +105 | 8.5 -125 |
| Caesars | 7.5 -129 | 7.5 +109 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Atlanta Braves | Miami Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 53.5% | 49.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Markets average | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.