Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions · All San Francisco Giants predictions
MLB · Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:06 PM
The model's call
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Model confidence 73.6%
Books consensus 73.6%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -330 | +260 |
| ESPN BET | -340 | +270 |
| Fanatics | -320 | +250 |
| FanDuel | -335 | +270 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -325 | +260 |
| Caesars | -335 | +265 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 73.6% | 26.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 76.2% | 27.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 74.5% | 25.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 76.5% | 23.5% |
| Markets average | 75.5% | 24.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.
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