Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions · All San Francisco Giants predictions
MLB · Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:06 PM · Final: 4-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -285 | +225 |
| BetRivers | -275 | +220 |
| DraftKings | -292 | +233 |
| ESPN BET | -290 | +240 |
| Fanatics | -285 | +230 |
| FanDuel | -300 | +245 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -300 | +240 |
| Caesars | -310 | +220 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Dodgers | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −2.5 +105 | +2.5 -125 |
| BetRivers | −2.5 +100 | +2.5 -121 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -157 | +1.5 +130 |
| ESPN BET | −2.5 +110 | +2.5 -130 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -160 | +1.5 +130 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -162 | +1.5 +134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −2.5 +100 | +2.5 -120 |
| Caesars | −2.5 +100 | +2.5 -130 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 7 -125 | 7 +105 |
| BetRivers | 7 -129 | 7 -112 |
| DraftKings | 7 -122 | 7 +101 |
| ESPN BET | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -125 |
| Fanatics | 7 -120 | 7 +100 |
| FanDuel | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -122 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.5 +105 | 7.5 -125 |
| Caesars | 7.5 +101 | 7.5 -132 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 71.1% | 28.9% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 73.3% | 29.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 71.5% | 28.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 71.5% | 28.5% |
| Markets average | 71.5% | 28.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.