Los Angeles Dodgers at San Francisco Giants
All Los Angeles Dodgers predictions · All San Francisco Giants predictions
MLB · Sunday, September 27, 2026 · 3:06 PM · Final: 5-1
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -250 | +200 |
| BetRivers | -220 | +180 |
| DraftKings | -249 | +201 |
| ESPN BET | -250 | +210 |
| Fanatics | -245 | +200 |
| FanDuel | -255 | +210 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -260 | +210 |
| Caesars | -250 | +205 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Dodgers | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 -150 | +1.5 +115 |
| BetRivers | −2 -113 | +2 -108 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 -143 | +1.5 +118 |
| ESPN BET | −2.5 +115 | +2.5 -135 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 -140 | +1.5 +115 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 -140 | +1.5 +116 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −2.5 +110 | +2.5 -130 |
| Caesars | −2.5 +115 | +2.5 -134 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 8.5 -112 | 8.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -114 |
| ESPN BET | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 8.5 -105 | 8.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 8.5 -103 | 8.5 -115 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Los Angeles Dodgers | San Francisco Giants |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 68.4% | 31.6% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 68.8% | 32.3% |
| Kalshi contract price | 69.5% | 30.5% |
| Polymarket contract price | 69.5% | 30.5% |
| Markets average | 69.5% | 30.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.