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Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights

All Anaheim Ducks predictions · All Vegas Golden Knights predictions

NHL · Friday, October 2, 2026 · 10:10 PM

The model's call
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Model confidence 61.7%
Books consensus 61.7%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Anaheim DucksVegas Golden Knights
BetRivers +135 -165
DraftKings +154 -185
Fanatics +150 -180
FanDuel +150 -182
Caesars +151 -179

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Anaheim DucksVegas Golden Knights
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 38.3% 61.7%
Best book price incl. vig 39.4% 62.3%
Kalshi contract price 38.0% 62.0%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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