Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins
All Winnipeg Jets predictions · All Pittsburgh Penguins predictions
NHL · Monday, October 5, 2026 · 7:40 PM
The model's call
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Model confidence 60.3%
Books consensus 60.3%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Winnipeg Jets | Pittsburgh Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +142 | -170 |
| Fanatics | +140 | -170 |
| FanDuel | +142 | -172 |
| Caesars | +141 | -170 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | Winnipeg Jets | Pittsburgh Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 39.7% | 60.3% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 41.3% | 63.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 39.2% | 60.8% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.
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