New York Islanders at New York Rangers
All New York Islanders predictions · All New York Rangers predictions
NHL · Tuesday, October 6, 2026 · 7:40 PM
The model's call
New York Rangers to win
Model confidence 56.4%
Books consensus 56.4%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | New York Islanders | New York Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | +115 | -137 |
| DraftKings | +120 | -142 |
| Fanatics | +120 | -145 |
| FanDuel | +120 | -144 |
| Caesars | +119 | -141 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | New York Islanders | New York Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 43.6% | 56.4% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 45.5% | 57.8% |
| Kalshi contract price | 43.5% | 56.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.
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The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
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