Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames
All Colorado Avalanche predictions · All Calgary Flames predictions
NHL · Thursday, October 8, 2026 · 9:10 PM
The model's call
Colorado Avalanche to win
Model confidence 66.0%
Books consensus 66.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged
consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet.
Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.
Line shop — latest moneyline by book
Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.
| Book | Colorado Avalanche | Calgary Flames |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -218 | +180 |
| Fanatics | -220 | +180 |
| FanDuel | -225 | +184 |
| Caesars | -225 | +184 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.
| Venue | Colorado Avalanche | Calgary Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 66.0% | 34.0% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 68.6% | 35.2% |
| Kalshi contract price | 68.8% | 31.2% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.
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