Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

New York Rangers at New Jersey Devils

All New York Rangers predictions · All New Jersey Devils predictions

NHL · Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 7:10 PM

The model's call
New Jersey Devils to win
Model confidence 57.3%
Books consensus 57.3%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book New York RangersNew Jersey Devils
BetMGM +125 -150
BetRivers +123 -148
DraftKings +124 -148
Fanatics +125 -150
FanDuel +126 -152
Caesars +124 -145

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Devils −1.5
priced 36.6% to cover · 5 books
Total
O/U 6.5
priced 44.6% over · 2 books, 4 on another number
opened 5.5
Spread by book RangersDevils
BetMGM +1.5 -190 −1.5 +155
BetRivers +1.5 -225 −1.5 +175
DraftKings +1.5 -205 −1.5 +170
Fanatics +1.5 -200 −1.5 +160
FanDuel +1.5 -192 −1.5 +154
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -115 6 -105
BetRivers 5.5 -132 5.5 +106
DraftKings 6.5 +114 6.5 -135
Fanatics 6.5 +115 6.5 -140
FanDuel 5.5 -140 5.5 +114
Caesars 6 -114 6 -108

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue New York RangersNew Jersey Devils
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 42.7% 57.3%
Best book price incl. vig 44.2% 59.2%
Kalshi contract price 44.5% 55.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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