Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks

All Winnipeg Jets predictions · All Chicago Blackhawks predictions

NHL · Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 8:10 PM

The model's call
Winnipeg Jets to win
Model confidence 54.7%
Books consensus 54.7%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Winnipeg JetsChicago Blackhawks
BetMGM -135 +110
BetRivers -132 +112
DraftKings -135 +114
Fanatics -130 +110
FanDuel -126 +105
Caesars -134 +114

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Jets −1.5
priced 33.3% to cover · 5 books
Total
O/U 6.5
priced 46.0% over · 4 books, 2 on another number
opened 5.5
Spread by book JetsBlackhawks
BetMGM −1.5 +180 +1.5 -220
BetRivers −1.5 +185 +1.5 -235
DraftKings −1.5 +180 +1.5 -218
Fanatics −1.5 +185 +1.5 -235
FanDuel −1.5 +186 +1.5 -235
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -120 6 +100
BetRivers 6.5 +104 6.5 -129
DraftKings 6.5 +110 6.5 -130
Fanatics 6.5 +110 6.5 -135
FanDuel 6.5 +106 6.5 -130
Caesars 6 -114 6 -108

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Winnipeg JetsChicago Blackhawks
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 54.7% 45.3%
Best book price incl. vig 55.8% 46.7%
Kalshi contract price 55.9% 44.1%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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