Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

St Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild

All St Louis Blues predictions · All Minnesota Wild predictions

NHL · Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 8:10 PM

The model's call
Minnesota Wild to win
Model confidence 59.0%
Books consensus 59.0%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book St Louis BluesMinnesota Wild
BetMGM +135 -160
BetRivers +133 -159
DraftKings +130 -155
Fanatics +135 -165
FanDuel +136 -164
Caesars +134 -159

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Wild −1.5
priced 38.8% to cover · 5 books
Total
O/U 5.5
priced 54.7% over · 3 books, 3 on another number
Spread by book BluesWild
BetMGM +1.5 -180 −1.5 +145
BetRivers +1.5 -200 −1.5 +160
DraftKings +1.5 -175 −1.5 +145
Fanatics +1.5 -180 −1.5 +145
FanDuel +1.5 -180 −1.5 +146
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -110 6 -110
BetRivers 5.5 -137 5.5 +110
DraftKings 6.5 +114 6.5 -135
Fanatics 5.5 -135 5.5 +110
FanDuel 5.5 -134 5.5 +110
Caesars 6 -107 6 -115

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue St Louis BluesMinnesota Wild
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 41.0% 59.0%
Best book price incl. vig 42.4% 60.8%
Kalshi contract price 41.5% 58.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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