Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers

All Utah Mammoth predictions · All Edmonton Oilers predictions

NHL · Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 9:10 PM

The model's call
Edmonton Oilers to win
Model confidence 55.5%
Books consensus 55.5%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Utah MammothEdmonton Oilers
BetRivers +116 -137
DraftKings +114 -135
Fanatics +115 -140
FanDuel +114 -137
Caesars +119 -141

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Oilers −1.5
priced 36.4% to cover · 4 books
Total
O/U 6.5
priced 50.9% over · 5 books
Spread by book MammothOilers
BetRivers +1.5 -220 −1.5 +175
DraftKings +1.5 -198 −1.5 +164
Fanatics +1.5 -200 −1.5 +160
FanDuel +1.5 -200 −1.5 +160
Total by bookOverUnder
BetRivers 6.5 -115 6.5 -108
DraftKings 6.5 -112 6.5 -108
Fanatics 6.5 -115 6.5 -105
FanDuel 6.5 -118 6.5 -104
Caesars 6.5 -115 6.5 -107

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Utah MammothEdmonton Oilers
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 44.5% 55.5%
Best book price incl. vig 45.7% 57.4%
Kalshi contract price 44.5% 55.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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