Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Boston Bruins at Anaheim Ducks

All Boston Bruins predictions · All Anaheim Ducks predictions

NHL · Friday, October 16, 2026 · 10:10 PM

The model's call
Boston Bruins to win
Model confidence 52.2%
Books consensus 52.2%
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the books’ de-vigged consensus until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Prediction markets below are a comparison, not an input.

Line shop — latest moneyline by book

Best available price on each side is highlighted. Prices move; always confirm at the book.

Book Boston BruinsAnaheim Ducks
BetMGM -120 +100
DraftKings -120 +100
Fanatics -115 -105
FanDuel -113 -106
Caesars -120 +101

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread
Bruins −1.5
priced 32.5% to cover · 4 books
Total
O/U 6.5
priced 47.2% over · 4 books, 1 on another number
Spread by book BruinsDucks
BetMGM −1.5 +195 +1.5 -235
DraftKings −1.5 +195 +1.5 -238
Fanatics −1.5 +190 +1.5 -240
FanDuel −1.5 +198 +1.5 -250
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -118 6 -102
DraftKings 6.5 +110 6.5 -130
Fanatics 6.5 +105 6.5 -125
FanDuel 6.5 -108 6.5 -112
Caesars 6.5 +100 6.5 -122

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side right now.

Venue Boston BruinsAnaheim Ducks
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 52.2% 47.8%
Best book price incl. vig 53.1% 49.8%
Kalshi contract price 51.7% 48.3%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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