Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets

All Carolina Hurricanes predictions · All Winnipeg Jets predictions

NHL · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:49 PM · Final: 3-2

The model's call
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Model confidence 64.2%
Books consensus 64.2%
Result Carolina Hurricanes won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Carolina HurricanesWinnipeg Jets
BetMGM -200 +165
BetRivers -210 +175
DraftKings -205 +170
ESPN BET -195 +165
Fanatics -200 +165
FanDuel -205 +168
Hard Rock Bet -200 +155
Novig -182 +178
Caesars -215 +175

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Hurricanes −1.5
priced 42.2% to cover · 7 books
Winnipeg Jets covered +1.5
Total · closing
O/U 6.5
priced 46.4% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
Under 6.5 (5 scored)
Spread by book HurricanesJets
BetMGM −1.5 +118 +1.5 -145
BetRivers −1.5 +118 +1.5 -148
DraftKings −1.5 +124 +1.5 -148
ESPN BET −1.5 +135 +1.5 -160
Fanatics −1.5 +130 +1.5 -160
FanDuel −1.5 +126 +1.5 -154
Hard Rock Bet −1.5 +130 +1.5 -165
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -120 6 +100
BetRivers 6.5 +104 6.5 -129
DraftKings 6.5 +110 6.5 -130
ESPN BET 6.5 +105 6.5 -125
Fanatics 6.5 +105 6.5 -125
FanDuel 6.5 +108 6.5 -132
Hard Rock Bet 6.5 +105 6.5 -130
Caesars 6 -123 6 +101

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.

Venue Carolina HurricanesWinnipeg Jets
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 64.2% 35.8%
Best book price incl. vig 64.5% 36.0%
Kalshi contract price 64.5% 35.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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