Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets

All New York Rangers predictions · All Columbus Blue Jackets predictions

NHL · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:08 PM · Final: 0-1

The model's call
Columbus Blue Jackets to win
Model confidence 54.7%
Books consensus 54.7%
Result Columbus Blue Jackets won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book New York RangersColumbus Blue Jackets
BetMGM +110 -135
BetRivers +112 -132
DraftKings +114 -135
ESPN BET +115 -135
Fanatics +115 -140
FanDuel +114 -137
Hard Rock Bet +105 -135
Novig +120 -122
Caesars +112 -132

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Blue Jackets −1.5
priced 33.3% to cover · 7 books
New York Rangers covered +1.5
Total · closing
O/U 6.5
priced 46.5% over · 6 books, 2 on another number
Under 6.5 (1 scored)
Spread by book RangersBlue Jackets
BetMGM +1.5 -210 −1.5 +170
BetRivers +1.5 -240 −1.5 +185
DraftKings +1.5 -225 −1.5 +185
ESPN BET +1.5 -215 −1.5 +175
Fanatics +1.5 -235 −1.5 +185
FanDuel +1.5 -245 −1.5 +190
Hard Rock Bet +1.5 -250 −1.5 +180
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -118 6 -102
BetRivers 6.5 +102 6.5 -127
DraftKings 6.5 +110 6.5 -130
ESPN BET 6.5 +110 6.5 -130
Fanatics 6.5 +105 6.5 -125
FanDuel 6.5 +104 6.5 -128
Hard Rock Bet 6.5 +105 6.5 -130
Caesars 6 -120 6 -103

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.

Venue New York RangersColumbus Blue Jackets
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 45.3% 54.7%
Best book price incl. vig 45.5% 55.0%
Kalshi contract price 45.5% 54.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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