Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers
All Ottawa Senators predictions · All Philadelphia Flyers predictions
NHL · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:17 PM · Final: 1-3
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Ottawa Senators | Philadelphia Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -165 | +135 |
| BetRivers | -150 | +125 |
| DraftKings | -166 | +140 |
| ESPN BET | -155 | +135 |
| Fanatics | -165 | +135 |
| FanDuel | -162 | +134 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -155 | +120 |
| Novig | -147 | +144 |
| Caesars | -170 | +140 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
| Spread by book | Senators | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −1.5 +150 | +1.5 -185 |
| BetRivers | −1.5 +185 | +1.5 -235 |
| DraftKings | −1.5 +170 | +1.5 -205 |
| ESPN BET | −1.5 +175 | +1.5 -215 |
| Fanatics | −1.5 +170 | +1.5 -215 |
| FanDuel | −1.5 +172 | +1.5 -215 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −1.5 +175 | +1.5 -230 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -120 |
| BetRivers | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -124 |
| DraftKings | 5.5 -102 | 5.5 -118 |
| ESPN BET | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -115 |
| Fanatics | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -120 |
| FanDuel | 5.5 +102 | 5.5 -124 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -115 |
| Caesars | 5.5 -102 | 5.5 -121 |
Prediction markets vs the books
Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.
| Venue | Ottawa Senators | Philadelphia Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| Books consensus fair, de-vigged | 59.2% | 40.8% |
| Best book price incl. vig | 59.5% | 41.0% |
| Kalshi contract price | 59.5% | 40.5% |
Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.