Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

St Louis Blues at Nashville Predators

All St Louis Blues predictions · All Nashville Predators predictions

NHL · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 8:09 PM · Final: 2-5

The model's call
St Louis Blues to win
Model confidence 51.1%
Books consensus 51.1%
Result Nashville Predators won model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book St Louis BluesNashville Predators
BetMGM -118 -102
BetRivers -118 -103
DraftKings -115 -105
ESPN BET -110 -110
Fanatics -115 -105
FanDuel -118 -102
Hard Rock Bet -115 -115
Novig -108 +106
Caesars -110 -110

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Blues −1.5
priced 30.1% to cover · 6 books, 1 on another number
opened Predators −1.5
Nashville Predators covered +1.5
Total · closing
O/U 5.5
priced 54.8% over · 5 books, 3 on another number
Over 5.5 (7 scored)
Spread by book BluesPredators
BetMGM −1.5 +200 +1.5 -250
BetRivers −1.5 +215 +1.5 -278
DraftKings −1.5 +220 +1.5 -270
ESPN BET +1.5 -325 −1.5 +220
Fanatics −1.5 +220 +1.5 -285
FanDuel −1.5 +210 +1.5 -265
Hard Rock Bet −1.5 +210 +1.5 -325
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 6 -110 6 -110
BetRivers 5.5 -136 5.5 +110
DraftKings 5.5 -135 5.5 +114
ESPN BET 5.5 -130 5.5 +110
Fanatics 6.5 +115 6.5 -140
FanDuel 5.5 -138 5.5 +112
Hard Rock Bet 5.5 -130 5.5 +105
Caesars 6 -109 6 -113

Prediction markets vs the books

Every venue sells the same thing — a dollar if that side wins — at a different price. Implied cost per venue below; amber = the cheapest way to buy that side at the close.

Venue St Louis BluesNashville Predators
Books consensus fair, de-vigged 51.1% 48.9%
Best book price incl. vig 51.9% 48.5%
Kalshi contract price 51.5% 48.5%

Contract prices exclude exchange trading fees (Kalshi ~1–2¢ midrange), which narrow small gaps. A venue meaningfully below the books consensus is either a bargain or an early opinion — the graded record decides which.

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