Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Florida Atlantic Owls at Army Black Knights

All Florida Atlantic Owls predictions · All Army Black Knights predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:04 PM · Final: 24-56

The model's call
Army Black Knights to win
Model confidence 53.6%
Books consensus 53.6%
Result Army Black Knights won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Florida Atlantic OwlsArmy Black Knights
BetMGM +105 -125
BetRivers +102 -125
DraftKings +110 -130
ESPN BET +110 -130
FanDuel +105 -126
Hard Rock Bet +100 -125
Novig +117 -120
Caesars +108 -127

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Army −2.5
priced 49.6% to cover · 3 books, 4 on another number
Army Black Knights covered −2.5
Total · closing
O/U 55.5
priced 50.0% over · 5 books, 2 on another number
opened 54.5
Over 55.5 (80 scored)
Spread by book Florida AtlanticArmy
BetMGM +2 -108 −2 -110
BetRivers +1.5 -110 −1.5 -113
DraftKings +2.5 -112 −2.5 -108
ESPN BET +2.5 -110 −2.5 -110
FanDuel +2.5 -118 −2.5 -104
Hard Rock Bet +1.5 -110 −1.5 -110
Caesars +2 -106 −2 -114
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 56.5 -108 56.5 -110
BetRivers 55.5 -110 55.5 -113
DraftKings 55.5 -110 55.5 -110
ESPN BET 55.5 -105 55.5 -115
FanDuel 56.5 -106 56.5 -114
Hard Rock Bet 55.5 -110 55.5 -110
Caesars 55.5 -110 55.5 -109
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