Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Pittsburgh Panthers at Boston College Eagles

All Pittsburgh Panthers predictions · All Boston College Eagles predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:00 PM · Final: 21-27

The model's call
Pittsburgh Panthers to win
Model confidence 67.0%
Books consensus 67.0%
Result Boston College Eagles won model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Pittsburgh PanthersBoston College Eagles
BetMGM -220 +180
BetRivers -250 +190
DraftKings -225 +185
ESPN BET -230 +195
FanDuel -210 +172
Hard Rock Bet -250 +190
Novig -212 +208
Caesars -230 +188

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Pittsburgh −5.5
priced 51.1% to cover · 3 books, 4 on another number
opened Pittsburgh −6.5
Boston College Eagles covered +5.5
Total · closing
O/U 42.5
priced 50.2% over · 7 books
Over 42.5 (48 scored)
Spread by book PittsburghBoston College
BetMGM −6 -108 +6 -110
BetRivers −6 -112 +6 -112
DraftKings −6 -110 +6 -110
ESPN BET −5.5 -115 +5.5 -105
FanDuel −5.5 -110 +5.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet −5.5 -115 +5.5 -105
Caesars −6.5 -115 +6.5 -105
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 42.5 -110 42.5 -108
BetRivers 42.5 -113 42.5 -110
DraftKings 42.5 -115 42.5 -105
ESPN BET 42.5 -105 42.5 -115
FanDuel 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
Caesars 42.5 -113 42.5 -107
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