Cincinnati Bearcats at West Virginia Mountaineers
All Cincinnati Bearcats predictions · All West Virginia Mountaineers predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:00 PM · Final: 42-45
The model's call
West Virginia Mountaineers to win
Model confidence 52.6%
Books consensus 52.6%
Result West Virginia Mountaineers won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Cincinnati Bearcats | West Virginia Mountaineers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -102 | -118 |
| BetRivers | +100 | -124 |
| DraftKings | +102 | -122 |
| ESPN BET | +105 | -125 |
| FanDuel | -102 | -118 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +100 | -125 |
| Novig | +106 | -108 |
| Caesars | +107 | -125 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
West Virginia −1.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 7 books
West Virginia Mountaineers covered −1.5
Total · closing
O/U 63.5
priced 50.8% over · 4 books, 3 on another number
Over 63.5 (87 scored)
| Spread by book | Cincinnati | West Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | +1.5 -112 | −1.5 -112 |
| DraftKings | +1.5 -112 | −1.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +1.5 -110 | −1.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +1.5 -109 | −1.5 -112 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 64.5 -108 | 64.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 63.5 -113 | 63.5 -109 |
| DraftKings | 64.5 -108 | 64.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | 63.5 -115 | 63.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 63.5 -115 | 63.5 -105 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 63.5 -110 | 63.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 64.5 -107 | 64.5 -113 |
Trade the event contracts
The prediction-market prices on our game pages are tradeable markets.
Referral links — we may earn a reward if you sign up. 18+. Event contracts
involve risk; this is not investment advice.