Georgia State Panthers at James Madison Dukes
All Georgia State Panthers predictions · All James Madison Dukes predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:00 PM · Final: 22-49
The model's call
James Madison Dukes to win
Model confidence 74.7%
Books consensus 74.7%
Result James Madison Dukes won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Georgia State Panthers | James Madison Dukes |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +275 | -350 |
| BetRivers | +275 | -375 |
| DraftKings | +280 | -355 |
| ESPN BET | +270 | -340 |
| FanDuel | +270 | -345 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +275 | -375 |
| Novig | +300 | -308 |
| Caesars | +280 | -345 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
James Madison −8.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 3 books, 4 on another number
James Madison Dukes covered −8.5
Total · closing
O/U 57.5
priced 50.0% over · 7 books
opened 58.5
Over 57.5 (71 scored)
| Spread by book | Georgia State | James Madison |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +8 -108 | −8 -110 |
| BetRivers | +9 -112 | −9 -112 |
| DraftKings | +8.5 -112 | −8.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | +7.5 -105 | −7.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | +8.5 -110 | −8.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +8.5 -105 | −8.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +8 -107 | −8 -113 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 57.5 -110 | 57.5 -108 |
| BetRivers | 57.5 -110 | 57.5 -113 |
| DraftKings | 57.5 -110 | 57.5 -110 |
| ESPN BET | 57.5 -105 | 57.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 57.5 -112 | 57.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 57.5 -110 | 57.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 57.5 -114 | 57.5 -106 |
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