Kansas Jayhawks at Kansas State Wildcats
All Kansas Jayhawks predictions · All Kansas State Wildcats predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:03 PM · Final: 24-35
The model's call
Kansas State Wildcats to win
Model confidence 58.0%
Books consensus 58.0%
Result Kansas State Wildcats won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Kansas Jayhawks | Kansas State Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -150 |
| BetRivers | +128 | -159 |
| DraftKings | +124 | -148 |
| ESPN BET | +130 | -150 |
| FanDuel | +125 | -150 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +130 | -160 |
| Novig | +141 | -144 |
| Caesars | +129 | -152 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Kansas State −3
priced 49.9% to cover · 4 books, 3 on another number
opened Kansas State −3.5
Kansas State Wildcats covered −3
Total · closing
O/U 55.5
priced 48.9% over · 5 books, 2 on another number
Over 55.5 (59 scored)
| Spread by book | Kansas | Kansas State |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +3 -110 | −3 -108 |
| BetRivers | +3 -112 | −3 -112 |
| DraftKings | +3 -110 | −3 -110 |
| ESPN BET | +3.5 -130 | −3.5 +105 |
| FanDuel | +2.5 +102 | −2.5 -124 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +2.5 +105 | −2.5 -125 |
| Caesars | +3 -112 | −3 -107 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 55.5 -105 | 55.5 -115 |
| BetRivers | 54.5 -115 | 54.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | 55.5 -105 | 55.5 -115 |
| ESPN BET | 55.5 -105 | 55.5 -115 |
| FanDuel | 55.5 -105 | 55.5 -115 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 54.5 -115 | 54.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 55.5 -109 | 55.5 -112 |
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