Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Maryland Terrapins

All Rutgers Scarlet Knights predictions · All Maryland Terrapins predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 12:30 PM · Final: 37-30

The model's call
Maryland Terrapins to win
Model confidence 65.5%
Books consensus 65.5%
Result Rutgers Scarlet Knights won model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Rutgers Scarlet KnightsMaryland Terrapins
BetMGM +175 -210
BetRivers +175 -225
DraftKings +180 -218
ESPN BET +180 -215
FanDuel +168 -205
Hard Rock Bet +175 -220
Novig +186 -194
Caesars +181 -218

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Maryland −5.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 7 books
Rutgers Scarlet Knights covered +5.5
Total · closing
O/U 55.5
priced 50.2% over · 7 books
Over 55.5 (67 scored)
Spread by book RutgersMaryland
BetMGM +5.5 -108 −5.5 -110
BetRivers +5.5 -114 −5.5 -109
DraftKings +5.5 -110 −5.5 -110
ESPN BET +5.5 -110 −5.5 -110
FanDuel +5.5 -110 −5.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet +5.5 -110 −5.5 -110
Caesars +5.5 -112 −5.5 -109
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 55.5 -110 55.5 -108
BetRivers 55.5 -110 55.5 -112
DraftKings 55.5 -112 55.5 -108
ESPN BET 55.5 -105 55.5 -115
FanDuel 55.5 -115 55.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet 55.5 -110 55.5 -110
Caesars 55.5 -113 55.5 -107
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