Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Western Michigan Broncos at Central Michigan Chippewas

All Western Michigan Broncos predictions · All Central Michigan Chippewas predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 1:30 PM · Final: 21-14

The model's call
Western Michigan Broncos to win
Model confidence 71.7%
Books consensus 71.7%
Result Western Michigan Broncos won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Western Michigan BroncosCentral Michigan Chippewas
BetMGM -295 +240
BetRivers -305 +235
DraftKings -290 +235
ESPN BET -290 +240
FanDuel -330 +260
Hard Rock Bet -300 +240
Novig -277 +264
Caesars -290 +235

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Western Michigan −7.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 7 books
opened Western Michigan −7
Central Michigan Chippewas covered +7.5
Total · closing
O/U 43.5
priced 50.0% over · 7 books
Under 43.5 (35 scored)
Spread by book Western MichiganCentral Michigan
BetMGM −7.5 -108 +7.5 -110
BetRivers −7.5 -113 +7.5 -110
DraftKings −7.5 -108 +7.5 -112
ESPN BET −7.5 -110 +7.5 -110
FanDuel −7.5 -110 +7.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet −7.5 -110 +7.5 -110
Caesars −7.5 -105 +7.5 -115
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 43.5 -110 43.5 -108
BetRivers 43.5 -110 43.5 -113
DraftKings 43.5 -112 43.5 -108
ESPN BET 43.5 -105 43.5 -115
FanDuel 43.5 -110 43.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 43.5 -110 43.5 -110
Caesars 43.5 -110 43.5 -109
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