Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Akron Zips at Miami (OH) RedHawks

All Akron Zips predictions · All Miami (OH) RedHawks predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:32 PM · Final: 14-34

The model's call
Miami (OH) RedHawks to win
Model confidence 75.2%
Books consensus 75.2%
Result Miami (OH) RedHawks won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Akron ZipsMiami (OH) RedHawks
BetMGM +290 -350
BetRivers +300 -420
DraftKings +280 -355
ESPN BET +250 -300
FanDuel +285 -365
Hard Rock Bet +300 -425
Novig +317 -335
Caesars +285 -360

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Miami (OH) −9.5
priced 50.3% to cover · 6 books, 1 on another number
Miami (OH) RedHawks covered −9.5
Total · closing
O/U 47.5
priced 50.0% over · 7 books
opened 46.5
Over 47.5 (48 scored)
Spread by book AkronMiami (OH)
BetMGM +9.5 -108 −9.5 -110
BetRivers +9.5 -110 −9.5 -113
DraftKings +9.5 -112 −9.5 -108
ESPN BET +8.5 -105 −8.5 -115
FanDuel +9.5 -105 −9.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet +9.5 -110 −9.5 -110
Caesars +9.5 -106 −9.5 -114
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 47.5 -112 47.5 -105
BetRivers 47.5 -110 47.5 -113
DraftKings 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
ESPN BET 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
FanDuel 47.5 -115 47.5 -105
Hard Rock Bet 47.5 -110 47.5 -110
Caesars 47.5 -112 47.5 -108
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