Alabama Crimson Tide at Tennessee Volunteers
All Alabama Crimson Tide predictions · All Tennessee Volunteers predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:45 PM · Final: 10-26
The model's call
Alabama Crimson Tide to win
Model confidence 72.8%
Books consensus 72.8%
Result Tennessee Volunteers won
model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Alabama Crimson Tide | Tennessee Volunteers |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | -300 | +250 |
| BetRivers | -315 | +245 |
| DraftKings | -310 | +250 |
| ESPN BET | -340 | +270 |
| Fanatics | -310 | +250 |
| FanDuel | -320 | +255 |
| Hard Rock Bet | -325 | +250 |
| Novig | -277 | +270 |
| Caesars | -325 | +260 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Alabama −7.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 8 books
Tennessee Volunteers covered +7.5
Total · closing
O/U 50.5
priced 51.1% over · 7 books, 1 on another number
Under 50.5 (36 scored)
| Spread by book | Alabama | Tennessee |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | −7.5 -108 | +7.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | −7.5 -114 | +7.5 -110 |
| DraftKings | −7.5 -108 | +7.5 -112 |
| ESPN BET | −7.5 -110 | +7.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | −7.5 -110 | +7.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | −7.5 -110 | +7.5 -110 |
| Hard Rock Bet | −7.5 -115 | +7.5 -110 |
| Caesars | −7.5 -110 | +7.5 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -105 |
| BetRivers | 51 -109 | 51 -114 |
| DraftKings | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -105 |
| ESPN BET | 50.5 -110 | 50.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | 50.5 -118 | 50.5 -104 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -105 |
| Caesars | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -105 |
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