Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Auburn Tigers at Georgia Bulldogs

All Auburn Tigers predictions · All Georgia Bulldogs predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:35 PM · Final: 27-24

The model's call
Georgia Bulldogs to win
Model confidence 89.5%
Books consensus 89.5%
Result Auburn Tigers won model ✗
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Auburn TigersGeorgia Bulldogs
BetMGM +850 -1200
BetRivers +900 -2000
DraftKings +800 -1350
ESPN BET +800 -1600
Fanatics +800 -1300
FanDuel +810 -1450
Hard Rock Bet +900 -1600
Novig +953 -1011
Caesars +800 -1450

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Georgia −19.5
priced 50.0% to cover · 7 books, 1 on another number
Auburn Tigers covered +19.5
Total · closing
O/U 50.5
priced 49.2% over · 4 books, 4 on another number
opened 49.5
Over 50.5 (51 scored)
Spread by book AuburnGeorgia
BetMGM +19 -108 −19 -110
BetRivers +19.5 -112 −19.5 -112
DraftKings +19.5 -112 −19.5 -108
ESPN BET +19.5 -110 −19.5 -110
Fanatics +19.5 -110 −19.5 -110
FanDuel +19.5 -110 −19.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet +19.5 -110 −19.5 -110
Caesars +19.5 -107 −19.5 -113
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 49.5 -112 49.5 -105
BetRivers 50 -112 50 -112
DraftKings 50.5 -105 50.5 -115
ESPN BET 50.5 -110 50.5 -110
Fanatics 50 -110 50 -110
FanDuel 50.5 -105 50.5 -115
Hard Rock Bet 49.5 -115 49.5 -105
Caesars 50.5 -108 50.5 -112
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