Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Toledo Rockets at Eastern Michigan Eagles

All Toledo Rockets predictions · All Eastern Michigan Eagles predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM · Final: 34-14

The model's call
Toledo Rockets to win
Model confidence 71.3%
Books consensus 71.3%
Result Toledo Rockets won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Toledo RocketsEastern Michigan Eagles
BetMGM -285 +230
BetRivers -305 +235
DraftKings -285 +230
ESPN BET -290 +240
FanDuel -285 +230
Hard Rock Bet -300 +240
Novig -270 +257
Caesars -280 +225

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Toledo −7.5
priced 48.9% to cover · 7 books
opened Toledo −6.5
Toledo Rockets covered −7.5
Total · closing
O/U 52.5
priced 50.0% over · 7 books
Under 52.5 (48 scored)
Spread by book ToledoEastern Michigan
BetMGM −7.5 -105 +7.5 -112
BetRivers −7.5 -109 +7.5 -114
DraftKings −7.5 -102 +7.5 -118
ESPN BET −7.5 -105 +7.5 -115
FanDuel −7.5 -104 +7.5 -118
Hard Rock Bet −7.5 -105 +7.5 -110
Caesars −7.5 -104 +7.5 -117
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 52.5 -110 52.5 -108
BetRivers 52.5 -113 52.5 -110
DraftKings 52.5 -110 52.5 -110
ESPN BET 52.5 -105 52.5 -115
FanDuel 52.5 -110 52.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 52.5 -110 52.5 -110
Caesars 52.5 -110 52.5 -110
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