Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Virginia Tech Hokies

All Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets predictions · All Virginia Tech Hokies predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM · Final: 24-34

The model's call
Virginia Tech Hokies to win
Model confidence 74.8%
Books consensus 74.8%
Result Virginia Tech Hokies won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Georgia Tech Yellow JacketsVirginia Tech Hokies
BetMGM +275 -350
BetRivers +300 -435
DraftKings +280 -355
ESPN BET +280 -360
FanDuel +270 -345
Hard Rock Bet +300 -425
Novig +300 -317
Caesars +275 -345

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Virginia Tech −8.5
priced 50.4% to cover · 4 books, 3 on another number
Virginia Tech Hokies covered −8.5
Total · closing
O/U 56.5
priced 49.3% over · 4 books, 3 on another number
Over 56.5 (58 scored)
Spread by book Georgia TechVirginia Tech
BetMGM +8.5 -112 −8.5 -118
BetRivers +9 -113 −9 -112
DraftKings +8.5 -108 −8.5 -112
ESPN BET +8.5 -110 −8.5 -110
FanDuel +9.5 -110 −9.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet +9.5 -110 −9.5 -110
Caesars +8.5 -109 −8.5 -112
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 55.5 -110 55.5 -108
BetRivers 56 -113 56 -110
DraftKings 56.5 -108 56.5 -112
ESPN BET 56.5 -105 56.5 -115
FanDuel 56.5 -106 56.5 -114
Hard Rock Bet 56.5 -105 56.5 -110
Caesars 56 -108 56 -112
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