Sports Edge Model — every game called, every call graded, in public

Northern Illinois Huskies at Wyoming Cowboys

All Northern Illinois Huskies predictions · All Wyoming Cowboys predictions

College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:40 PM · Final: 23-41

The model's call
Wyoming Cowboys to win
Model confidence 72.0%
Books consensus 72.0%
Result Wyoming Cowboys won model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not an input.

Closing moneyline by book

The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.

Book Northern Illinois HuskiesWyoming Cowboys
BetMGM +240 -295
BetRivers +265 -360
DraftKings +235 -290
ESPN BET +230 -280
FanDuel +240 -330
Hard Rock Bet +260 -350
Novig +257 -270
Caesars +240 -295

Spread & total

Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.

Spread · closing
Wyoming −7.5
priced 49.2% to cover · 5 books, 2 on another number
Wyoming Cowboys covered −7.5
Total · closing
O/U 42.5
priced 49.9% over · 4 books, 3 on another number
opened 41.5
Over 42.5 (64 scored)
Spread by book Northern IllinoisWyoming
BetMGM +7.5 -112 −7.5 -105
BetRivers +7.5 -113 −7.5 -109
DraftKings +7 -105 −7 -115
ESPN BET +7.5 -115 −7.5 -105
FanDuel +7.5 -120 −7.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet +7.5 -110 −7.5 -110
Caesars +7 -111 −7 -110
Total by bookOverUnder
BetMGM 42.5 -108 42.5 -110
BetRivers 42.5 -108 42.5 -115
DraftKings 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
ESPN BET 43.5 -105 43.5 -115
FanDuel 41.5 -120 41.5 -110
Hard Rock Bet 41.5 -115 41.5 -105
Caesars 42.5 -110 42.5 -110
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