Troy Trojans at Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
All Troy Trojans predictions · All Louisiana Ragin Cajuns predictions
College Football · Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 5:03 PM · Final: 6-33
The model's call
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns to win
Model confidence 57.8%
Books consensus 57.8%
Result Louisiana Ragin Cajuns won
model ✓
Identical on purpose: the model applies no adjustment to the de-vigged consensus
of the books and Novig, a no-cut exchange, until a candidate signal proves itself
in shadow audit — none has yet. Kalshi and Polymarket below are a comparison, not
an input.
Closing moneyline by book
The last price each book posted before first pitch — the prices this call could actually have been bet at. Best on each side is highlighted. In-game odds are deliberately excluded: once the game starts, the price tracks the score, not the matchup.
| Book | Troy Trojans | Louisiana Ragin Cajuns |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -150 |
| BetRivers | +125 | -159 |
| DraftKings | +124 | -148 |
| ESPN BET | +125 | -145 |
| FanDuel | +132 | -160 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +130 | -155 |
| Novig | +135 | -138 |
| Caesars | +128 | -152 |
Spread & total
Not part of the model's call. Collected from every book and graded in public so the prices can be checked — how spreads and totals have graded so far. The percent is what the price itself implies, vig removed.
Spread · closing
Louisiana −3
priced 50.0% to cover · 4 books, 3 on another number
Louisiana Ragin Cajuns covered −3
Total · closing
O/U 49.5
priced 50.0% over · 7 books
Under 49.5 (39 scored)
| Spread by book | Troy | Louisiana |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +3 -110 | −3 -108 |
| BetRivers | +3 -112 | −3 -112 |
| DraftKings | +3 -108 | −3 -112 |
| ESPN BET | +3.5 -130 | −3.5 +105 |
| FanDuel | +3.5 -114 | −3.5 -106 |
| Hard Rock Bet | +2.5 +100 | −2.5 -125 |
| Caesars | +3 -110 | −3 -110 |
| Total by book | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 49.5 -108 | 49.5 -110 |
| BetRivers | 49.5 -108 | 49.5 -114 |
| DraftKings | 49.5 -112 | 49.5 -108 |
| ESPN BET | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | 49.5 -112 | 49.5 -108 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 49.5 -105 | 49.5 -110 |
| Caesars | 49.5 -110 | 49.5 -110 |
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